Vice President Of China Textile Association Xia Lingmin: Analysis Of The Development Trend Of China'S Textile And Garment Industry 2012

Focus on the survival and development of textile enterprises -- 2012 China

The market forum was held in Shanghai in October 23rd.

Reporter tracking the whole story, Xia Lingmin, vice president of China Textile Industry Federation, made Chinese textiles at the forum.

Industry 2012 development trend analysis, the following is a speech record:

Vice President Xia Lingmin

Xia Lingmin: Good morning, ladies and gentlemen.

Interrupt as much as I can.

Recently, the media is constantly hyping up a problem.

We spin

The dilemma of chain, especially the inventory problem of clothing enterprises, is very much used in the word "end of the world, internal and external troubles" and so on.

It seems as if the industry is heading for recession overnight.

Several guests in the introduction process, we have felt, but also see.

Actually, the problem is not at the end of the world.

Let's make a brief summary of this situation.

It will not be detailed, but the whole clear concept will be given to you.

The basic situation of the industry at present is introduced in front of president Xu. In fact, it still keeps a low growth rate from production. The data on the total retail sales of consumer goods released in September just now show that the total retail sales of clothing products are still higher than the growth of global retail sales. Our clothing category increased by 14.8%, while the global product growth rate increased by 14.6%, while in August, there was an increase of 0.3 over September.

The scale of the domestic market, from the cabinet enterprises, the scale of domestic enterprises continues to expand.

Export bulletin data also fell 0.2 from last month, and this month to September, an increase of 0.54%, the data export market is not continuing downward trend.

Industry investment is also growing, the growth rate of 15.3%, investment structure can be seen in the central and western regions, the growth is still relatively fast, although the eastern region still maintained a major share of investment, of course, the industry profit scale than last year registration ratio has dropped, this is also the feeling that the day is sad, money is not good to earn a very important factor.

The data from 1 to August showed that the profit of the industry decreased by 1.16% compared with the same period last year.

From 1 to September, a basic trend is still the growth of production investment and domestic sales, and export is flat and profits have declined slightly. For the industry, the situation is still grim and the pressure is still relatively large, but there are signs of stabilization.

Let's start with the main difficulties of analysis.

One is the demand of the international market, whether it is the United States or Japan, especially the European Union, the growth rate of demand is declining. The EU's decline is still relatively strong, nearly 7%, which has a relatively large impact on exports. Another major problem is that the price of cotton flower at home and abroad is not as good as that for Chinese enterprises, and the price difference is 5000 yuan per ton. This is a very difficult price difference for the industry, which weakens the competitiveness of our special cotton textile industrial chain. From the decline of US cotton textile products, we can see that China has the largest decline, far higher than that of India and Vietnam.

This is the current industry situation.

The China Federation of textile industry has also made an investigation of the existence of the enterprise for the forum.

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At the same time, many enterprises choose to adjust their product mix and reduce their use of cotton. In fact, they put forward a clear signal for the whole cotton industry chain, that is, our cotton policy can not continue the current situation and control imports, which is extremely bad for the cotton industry chain.

For the future development of enterprises, expanding product coverage, strengthening brand marketing and expanding technological pformation is an important choice for the future development strategy of enterprises.

前面这些情况，实际上也都表明行业面临的压力比较大，问题也确实比较多，但是并不是意味着我们就到了“世界末日”，我们对于未来得发展还应该充满信心，对于纺织服装行业而言，我们作为一个消费者行业，作为生活的必需品，无论是国内市场还是国际市场，需求增长总趋势不会改变，虽然经济周期会影响到产品的消费，但是增长的趋势，无论是国内，还是以17.8%这样增长速度在增长，国际上美国经济在回升，增长也在上升，因此总的需求会随着经济好转还会回来，另外我们产业发展的优势没有实施，虽然我们在一些产品，一些行业，随着劳动力成本的上升，随着整个要素成本的上涨，有些产业的订单可能会向周边一些国家有些转移，但这也不是大量的，也不是完全产业整体转移，实际上我们的产业优势依然还很明显，那么2011年纤维加工总量也达到4300多万

Tons, accounting for more than 50% of the world's total, our exports reached US $254 billion 100 million, and accounted for more than 36% of global garment exports. At the same time, the perfect industrial chain and high-quality workforce are all in a position of comparative advantage in the international competition of the whole industry, which we have not lost.

Our market share in major import countries and regions, though fluctuated by a small margin, increased by 1%, and decreased by 2%. However, the dominant position has not changed. From 1 to August, the textile and clothing imported from China accounted for 40% of its total imports. The European Union 36% and Japan reached more than 70%. The import of the United States from second to Vietnam and India is only 7%, 5%, which is still far away from our total volume, so we have not lost our position in these regions.

At the same time, compared with our competitors, the market environment and factor cost increase that we are facing are the problems that we all face together, but the degree is different.

Just now, several speakers in the front mentioned that foreign countries, including India, including Vietnam, including Bangladesh, are also faced with these problems, such as rising wages and rising staff prices. Our outstanding problems mentioned above are mainly due to some improper macroeconomic policies, resulting in a problem that is different from other competitors, that is, cotton prices.

Therefore, for China's textile and apparel industry, we still have very good development conditions, and the prospects are still very good. But the pressure is relatively great. This is our advantage. At the same time, we can see that in the many industries of our manufacturing industry, the profit of textile industry has dropped by 1.9% in the first half of the year, and the profit of the whole industry has also dropped by 2%. Compared to light industry, steel, petrochemical, machinery, building materials and nonferrous metals, textile is second only to light industry and machinery, which is better than other industries. This shows that the current situation of industrial enterprises, as a consumer goods industry, will be faster in the pformation process, and our machinery can break through faster.

As the market changes,

In the first half of the year, the total investment in fixed assets will be 2.26%. In such a large proportion, we will make up 6.4% of the total business income of the manufacturing industry, 4.97% of total profits, 12.27% of exports, 10% of the total retail sales of social consumer goods, and 153% of the trade surplus. These figures also indicate that the status of textile industry in the manufacturing industry is still prominent. In the consumption of consumer goods, our share can also be seen from the proportion of investment. The total profit and fixed assets investment are also good investments to make profits.

　　因此，对于行业发展，应该还要坚定信心，到底怎么发展?前面五位嘉宾，徐会长已经讲了，产业还要调整结构还要转型升级，其他四位嘉宾分别从不同的角度来阐述企业的发展，行业的发展所要关注的问题，到底怎么去做，借阿里巴巴马云讲过一句话：“我们企业应对困境，更多的要听企业家的，不要听经济学家的，听经济学家的企业更得死一半”，前面有四位企业，我们行业协会给出的走过的脉络，我们并不更多去关注以前到底如何，我们是希望通过对前面的梳理得出结论，我们今后发展到底如何，具体路径怎么走，不管是优化产业链实现合作共赢，还是去非洲抓住非洲的发展机遇，还是黄冠华总经理的精细化管理，还是温动全球市场布局，这些都是给大家很好的建议，在发展过程当中可以取长补短，可以实现共赢的思路，路还是需要靠我们各个企业和行

The industry itself is coming. Our industry associations are striving to win from the macro level in terms of policies and related issues, including cotton issues, including tax issues, which can solve some burdens and problems for the industry.

But these problems need to be solved. We rely more on ourselves. We must go on the road of scientific development. The goal of 12th Five-Year and 13th Five-Year should not be stagnant because of short-term difficulties, or we must unswervingly move forward. We can achieve our dream of power in 13th Five-Year as soon as possible.

Thank you!