Can China'S Stock Market Continue To Be "Stable" In 2017?
China's stock market in 2015 has gone through a process of soaring and falling.
During this period, the full activation of highly leveraged financial instruments stimulated the enthusiasm of the market in a comprehensive way.
However, when the stock market bubble reached an extreme level, a vigorous "deleveraging" and "de bubble" process brought the fanatical market back to its original form.
Less than half a year ago, the stock market almost returned to its starting point in November 14.
2015 is the year that millions of Chinese investors can not forget.
In this year, the stock market has changed from a sharp rise to a sharp fall. So many shareholders' dream of "getting rich overnight" has been shattered.
However, after this vigorous and vigorous process of "deleveraging" and "going froth", the stock market people who were almost crazy had slowly returned to reason, and this tragic experience has brought impressive memories to them.
After a series of stock market turmoil, China's stock market after 16 February has basically entered a new running pattern.
In fact, it eliminated the beginning of 16 years
Fusing mechanism
The impact of rushing to the end of the 16 year stock market basically showed a sharp decline in volatility and a strong trend of stability.
Perhaps it is appropriate to describe this market environment with "steady as a mountain".
The stock market is "steady as Mount Tai", implying that the volatility of the stock market has been greatly reduced, and the stock market has basically remained within a relatively controllable range.
In the meantime, once the stock market shows signs of rapid growth, it will achieve the purpose of adjusting the index by speeding up IPO issuance and raising the monthly average financing amount.
When the market falls rapidly and approaches important psychological juncture, the market will also adopt the means of national team financing and IPO reduction to maintain the stability of the stock market.
Finally, the stock market is maintained within a reasonable operating range.
Since February of 16, China's stock market is basically inseparable from the pattern of "steady as Mount Tai". Over the past year, the core operating area of China's stock market has basically remained between 2900 and 3300 points, and the Chinese stock market has also achieved a low volatility rate in a rare way, reversing a long and highly speculative and volatile market structure.
In fact, the stock market can continue to maintain a "stable" situation, which is conducive to improving the stability of the stock market and reducing the outbreak of systemic risk in the stock market.
Under the actual circumstances, because of the serious problem of the equity pledge of the listed companies in the early stage, if there is a trend of irrational collapse, it may cause a series of liquidation risks and even cause systemic problems.
Obviously, this is not what managers want to see, but is inhibiting asset bubbles and continuing.
Deleveraging
Under the background of maintaining the stability of the stock market and keeping the stock market in a reasonable area, it may be more in line with the market supervision.
However, in the environment of "steady market", although the systematic risk of the stock market has been greatly reduced, it will also increase the difficulty of making money for investors.
More often than not, because the market volatility is too low, and the market is basically inseparable from the stock of funds as the dominant environment, which will make it difficult to find a better investment target, and achieve a better return on investment expectations.
In 2016, China's stock market basically realized a "stable" word, and in 2017, China's stock market is also expected to continue this stable operation pattern.
Obviously, it is necessary to keep the stock market stable under the condition of restraining asset bubbles, but we hope that the possibility of a sharp rise and fall will not be high.
In this regard, under the current IPO new regulation mode, it is better to maintain the stock market's investment and financing function.
For some robust investors, relying on the long-term stability advantage of big blue chips and continuing to complete the purchase of new shares, it is a relatively stable investment strategy to get a certain return on investment.
As for speculators who are keen on short-term trading, in a stable market environment, they also need more patience to wait for better layout opportunities. Once they step on the wrong track of market operation, they will also suffer from investment risks that cannot be underestimated.
In the short term, it will try to guide long-term capital to accelerate the market entry.
equity market
The trend of long cattle may be somewhat difficult, but at this stage, the stock market is still dominated by the stock market. The nature of the stock market volatility is difficult to get substantial changes, and "stability" is still the key task of the current market, and maintaining the stability of the stock market is also an important prerequisite for solving the IPO barrier lake.
However, for such a depressed market environment, it is not difficult for investors to make money, and it is not easy to realize the value of assets in the whole year.
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