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China Stock Market Situation: "Xiong Changniu Short"

2016/7/23 16:21:00 36

ChinaStock MarketStock Market

European and American stock markets have been 7 years old since 2009.

The Chinese stock market is "bear long cattle short", in 7 years, 6 years bear bear the whole world.

Therefore, China's stock market has become the heartbreaker of the vast majority of investors, so far it has been losing money and depressed.

However, in my opinion, there are still many bull markets besides the bull and bear market.

Even though China's stock market is still in bear market this year, there are still several long markets.

The sign is,

Market

Recover and stand on the five week moving average.

For example, 1-2 months after the new year's day this year, in the three fuses, depreciation of the renminbi, registration system and a series of negative impact, the market was in a straight line.

However, if we open the weekly K line, we can find that in the first ten days of March to mid April, late May to early June, and July, there are three long market positions on the five week average line, which is a number of bright colors in the bear market. As long as we seize these three opportunities, people can still make a difference in the structural stock market.

You can get a lot of money.

The question is, in the case of China's stock market unable to turn a bear into an ox, and without a talk about the slow bull market, can we build a long time bull market? I think, according to the current situation, it is possible.

According to the index, the 2860 point when Liu Shiyu, the new chairman of the SFC, took office in February 20th.

5 months later, this weekend rose to 3012 points, up 150 points, or 5.3%, which is 3.5 times the interest rate of a one year bank.

That is to say, investors who bought stocks for 5 months after President Liu Shiyu took office were all winners, and the yield was much better than that of banks and financial products.

If you choose the right stocks, then the gains will be several times the increase in the market.

Market funds are abundant. By the end of June, enterprises will have a current savings of up to 38 trillion yuan. Venture capital will be added at 3000 points to continue to increase the initiative of equity asset allocation. The central bank will carry out MLF operation on 14 financial institutions in late July, releasing 227 billion capital to the market, and the currency will continue to be loose.

The State Council has launched the investment and financing reform plan, which is favorable to bank shares. The Qihoo 360 will launch the A share back door listing in August 8th, and the State Council has rarely discussed the promotion of private investment with a strong lineup.

The Ministry of human resources and Social Affairs said it would "start the pension fund entrusted investment as soon as possible", which is the most explicit statement on the pension fund's entry into the market so far.

Once the 600 billion pension fund begins to enter the market, at least one trillion social capital will be introduced into the stock market.

Market hot wheels also reinforce the bull market.

Epicycle

slow bull

The biggest achievement of the bull market is the emergence of new hot spots that are not only in line with the policy orientation, but also have the advantage of rotation.

The first is the reform of state-owned enterprises.

This is the most important task of reform in this year.

The reform effect is not good or will push the reform speed up, and the good catalyst will also continue to come out.

Therefore, the reform of state-owned enterprises has become the primary layout of investors.

The reform of central enterprises and the enlargement of the radiation level have a positive effect on stabilizing the market.

Shanghai's state-owned asset reform concept is particularly sought after by institutions and investors.

At present, the quasi backdoor listed shares in Shanghai's state-owned assets reform concept of more than ten yuan are hidden, and will be opened up in the future by competitive bidding at home and abroad.

Industrial stocks

Another important piece of attention is the latest two top high-tech industries that are ahead of the world.

The first is the concept of quantum communication. With the advantages of high technology content, moderate plate, low price, turnover rate, ability to absorb capital and strong popularity, the investors' vision has been advanced from the general high-tech to the highest level of the world's high technology. The two is the graphene lithium battery concept headed by Xu Guang Guang East.

The stock week rose 40.2% from 10.11 to 14.17 yuan.

As a result of the above new market hot spots, and the stock price is mostly small and medium sized shares of 10 yuan, attracting a large number of funds to intervene, resulting in institutions and investors in the first half of the hot plate profits, the conversion of stocks, but also caused a structural differentiation of stocks, the index in the earthquake was hedged.

Some people are "earning the index but losing money", while others are "losing the index but making money".

This week, the market was adjusted after three consecutive days in the market, and 1.37% of the week's line was normal.

The index oscillation caused by the hot plate rotation can not be lightly described as "the end of the rebound".

Don't forget, the technical indicators of the K-line, the weekly K-line and the monthly K-line are all in the middle and low positions.

Once we break through the 3100 point, the 100-200 points above are all vacuum zones that have not stopped. Next week, investors will pay attention to whether they can continue the new platform on the basis of the results of the 12 days close to the 3000 point in the near future and the closing 7 days on the 3030 day.

Even if the moment falls below 3000 point integer, as long as the five week average line is not broken, the bull market will still be established, and it can still play a positive role in hot stocks.


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