Stock Market Outlook: Stocks Are Dominated By Structural And Localized Opportunities.
2015, the market performance on the last day is somewhat disappointing.
In 2015, the ups and downs of the stock market were rare in history. Looking forward to the 2016, there is no expectation that the market will run into a huge and big market. The market running space is expected to be 3026-4286.
Individual stock
Structural and local opportunities are the main factors. The first week after the festival is adjusted to a high level of pressure, and there is no possibility of breaking down the trend line.
In 2015, Shanghai Stock Index soared 56% in 65 days and plunged 43% in 52 days.
This sharp rise and fall is most deeply hurt by small and medium-sized retail investors. Not only did they rush into a large number of "new leeks" at high levels, but also made them new.
Investors?
At one time, fanaticism went to the stock market to sell stocks and stocks.
This year, money eye also has a lot of feelings. At a few key points, we did not misunderstand: in June 15th, the first day line of the first day was deviated from the structure, and we clearly hinted that the market was going to fall by 500-1000 points. In fact, it dropped 2328 points. In September 7th of this year, on the -8 day, the market was deviated from the establishment of the bottom line, and the money eye was prompt. The market has issued a buying signal in the middle line, which will rise by 500-1000 points, and finally the market has rebounded nearly 850 points.
If there are regrets, when the first wave of stock crash fell to 3700-3800, we think the market adjustment is coming to an end, and we think we can consider bargain hunting.
Contrary to our expectation, the second wave of stock crash has come again, and has plummeted more than 1000 points.
Investor
The losses were heavy.
In the first few days after the end of 2015, the market once again formed a deviation from the structure of the Japanese line. We still prompt you in a timely manner. I believe this is still the same as the first two times, so that we can avoid the risk that the market may fall further.
The market is still bullish in 2016, and will continue to move forward after repeated entanglements.
However, we will move forward in a steady manner. There will not be such a trend of ups and downs in 2015. There should be a prolonged concussion from 3300 to 3700, and there will be a longer period of turbulence between 3800 and 4000. This long period of saw will become the main theme of 2016.
We expect the stock market to run at 3026-4286 in 2016, where the extreme adjustment is at 2500, while the extreme high may be around 4456.
The last day before the holiday fell, and still did not break the trend line, but the late diving indicates that the reduction of large shareholders will bring adjustment pressure. The risk of uncertainty in the first week of the festival will increase, and the possibility of breaking the trend line will not be ruled out.
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