Exports Are Now "&Nbsp"; Growth In January Or Over 20%.
January foreign trade The data will be released on the 14 th of this month. Agencies generally predict that in January, China's external Exit Year-on-year growth of about 20%. Among them, Goldman Sachs Gao Hua's forecast value is up to 25%, significantly higher than last year's 17.9% year-on-year growth in December.
Export container pportation from China
market
According to the data, although the volume of cargo growth in North America, Europe and the Mediterranean was weak in the first half of 1, the volume of export container cargo rebounded significantly in the middle and later ten days of the Spring Festival.
On the whole, the volume of cargo remained stable in January.
Monita's research report also confirms the export situation from the improvement of shipping demand.
The report said that in January, China's shipping market entered the peak period before shipment, and pport demand increased significantly.
"It is expected that exports will reach 18% to 21.4% in January, with a median value of 19.7%, up 1.8 percentage points from December last year," said Lu commissar, a senior economist at Xingye Bank.
Many other agencies are more optimistic about the expected increase in exports, most of which are expected to grow by more than 20%.
Goldman Sachs Gao Hua's report said that exports growth in January is expected to increase from 17.9% in December to 25%.
In addition, supported by strong domestic demand and rebound in upstream commodity import prices, import growth in January will rise from 25.6% in December to 33%.
Orient Securities believes that the current US consumer confidence is increasing, and the actual personal consumption expenditure is rapidly approaching the level before the crisis.
Affected by this, China's terms of trade will continue to improve and export prices will rise.
In addition, compared with last December, the export base decreased in January this year, and the value of exports will rebound, which is expected to grow by 24.5% over the same period last year.
For the first quarter of the foreign trade situation, the National Information Center report believes that the first quarter of China's foreign trade import and export growth will return to normal, and the pressure of RMB appreciation will affect the competitiveness of China's export prices to a certain extent.
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