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Datong Securities: The 3 Quarter Is Still At The Bottom Stage Of &Nbsp; It Is Difficult To Break The Previous High Point.

2010/7/14 15:59:00 44

Datong Securities

  

After hours Reviews

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Today's Shanghai Composite Index: 2456.10 highest: 2494.59 lowest: 2456.10, close at 2470.44 points, up 20.15 points, or 0.82%, turnover 70 billion 221 million yuan; Shenzhen Branch index: 9813.31 highest: 9959 minimum: 9759.33, report 9803.72 points, increase points, or increase, the turnover volume of yuan yuan.


The two cities opened in Shanghai.

Local stock

In the active atmosphere of Baotuan trading, all sectors of the stock market are booming, and driven by heavyweight stocks such as real estate stocks and petrochemicals, the stock index has climbed to the top of 2494.59 points, but then it is seen that the 2500 annexes are under heavy pressure. In the absence of great profits, the medium-term adjustment pattern of the index is hard to change. The two cities continue to fall in the afternoon, and the Shanghai Stock Index narrowed down, down below the 20 day moving average.

Today, the two cities of Shanghai are most eye-catching in the local stock market, with over 10 shares trading, while the environmental protection unit has been pushing up in the afternoon, and the sectors like insurance, smart grid and new energy have fallen.

At the close, Shanghai reported 2470.44 points, up 20.15 points, or 0.82%, and clinch a deal of 70 billion 221 million yuan.


This week is the most severe test of market funds, and tomorrow's Agricultural Bank is also on the market.

IPO, the last big stock market this year, has also settled.

The final conclusion of the Agricultural Bank's listing will be on the market's capital and psychological affordability.

Thursday is a very crucial and meaningful day.

The listing of ABC is a key concern, and the disclosure of economic data in the two quarter is another concern.

The market will take advantage of these two major events to clear up a clear direction for the operation of stock index.


In terms of the bottom of the valuation, the bottom of the economy and the bottom of the policy,

market

It is often synchronized with policies and precedes economic fundamentals, that is, the stock market is expected to lead the economy for 3-6 months.

Therefore, the 3 quarter of A shares will be at the bottom stage. The second half is expected to be built in the form of bottom rebound.

Therefore, the market is expected to see the bottom of the economy sooner in the second half of the year, thus creating a bottoming rebounding pattern.

On the rise of market space, taking into account the gradual increase in industrial capital, social security funds to gradually increase the proportion of stock investment, new fund approval and speed up, as well as partial stock fund positions set a new low, based on the judgment of the short period of economic downturn, the market rebound can be defined as a restorative market, the rebound height will be more difficult to break through the level of the market before April.

Datong securities

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